Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
BVB
0 - 2
M05
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
AUG
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
EIN
0 - 2
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
HOF
23%
22%
56%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 1
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 5
BRE
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 1
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 3
EIN
29%
23%
48%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
S04
0 - 1
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |