Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
KÖL
1 - 0
M05
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
M05
0 - 2
FCN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
HER
2 - 0
M05
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
M05
0 - 0
MEP
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
SCN
2 - 2
M05
27%
23%
51%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
SCF
0 - 1
BRE
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
GLE
0 - 2
BRE
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
2 - 0
MUN
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
KFC
3 - 0
BRE
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 0
KSC
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |