Mainz 05 vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
BAY
4 - 1
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
M05
0 - 0
HOM
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
M05
3 - 0
USO
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1989 |
KÖL
3 - 0
M05
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
M05
1 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
WAT
0 - 0
USO
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
SAA
0 - 0
WAT
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
KÖL
5 - 6
WAT
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
WAT
4 - 2
HER
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
WAT
5 - 0
OSN
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |