Mainz 05 vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
SAA
2 - 2
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
M05
2 - 5
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
M05
1 - 0
DAR
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
M05
1 - 2
PIR
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
SCH
0 - 0
M05
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
VFR
1 - 5
BAY
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
SVS
1 - 0
VFR
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
VFR
2 - 0
PIR
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
FCN
5 - 0
VFR
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
VFR
1 - 2
WAL
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |