Mainz 05 vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
DAR
7 - 0
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
M05
3 - 2
VIK
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 0
M05
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
M05
1 - 0
EBT
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
AAA
5 - 2
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
OSN
6 - 0
USO
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 3
OSN
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
SAA
2 - 0
OSN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
HOM
1 - 1
OSN
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1989 |
OSN
4 - 3
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |