Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
EIN
2 - 0
M05
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
M05
1 - 1
HSV
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BVB
0 - 0
M05
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
M05
1 - 0
FCN
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WOL
3 - 3
M05
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
STU
3 - 1
URZ
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
STU
1 - 1
RTV
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LEV
4 - 0
STU
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
GLA
0 - 2
STU
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
STU
1 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |