Mainz 05 vs Schweinfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
DAR
3 - 1
M05
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
M05
2 - 2
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1975 |
M05
2 - 2
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
RVO
2 - 4
M05
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
M05
1 - 1
SVS
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Schweinfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
SCH
3 - 3
AUG
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
MUN
3 - 1
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1975 |
FSV
2 - 1
SCH
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
SCH
2 - 0
SSV
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
PIR
5 - 4
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |