Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AUG
3 - 1
M05
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
M05
2 - 3
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
LEV
19%
21%
60%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
M05
2 - 4
KSC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
FCU
4 - 0
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 4
S04
8%
14%
78%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
S04
1 - 1
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BVB
3 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
S04
1 - 1
FCU
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
S04
5 - 1
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |