Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SCF
2 - 3
M05
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
M05
2 - 3
LEV
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
M05
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
M05
1 - 1
WOL
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AUG
0 - 2
M05
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 1
S04
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
S04
0 - 0
SCF
62%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUG
0 - 0
S04
28%
25%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
S04
0 - 1
LEV
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
S04
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +2 |