Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
BWB
2 - 3
M05
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
M05
1 - 6
MEP
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
SCF
1 - 1
M05
63%
20%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
M05
3 - 1
OFC
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
WAT
2 - 1
M05
66%
19%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
S04
3 - 1
USO
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
KÖL
1 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
S04
0 - 1
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
SAA
2 - 1
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
S04
0 - 2
OSN
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |