Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
M05
1 - 0
DAR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1991 |
ERF
0 - 5
M05
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1991 |
M05
0 - 0
HOM
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1991 |
HAL
2 - 2
M05
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
ARB
1 - 0
M05
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
SCF
6 - 0
ERF
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
BBB
2 - 1
SCF
26%
23%
50%
|
67 | 13 | 54 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 1991 |
HOM
3 - 0
SCF
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
SCF
3 - 1
HAL
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1991 |
CHE
2 - 1
SCF
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -2 |