Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
26%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
OFC
3 - 0
M05
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
M05
1 - 1
WAT
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
BAY
4 - 1
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
M05
0 - 0
HOM
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
M05
3 - 0
USO
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
SCF
1 - 1
USO
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCF
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
SCF
1 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
SAA
2 - 0
SCF
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
SCF
3 - 0
OSN
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |