Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
HOM
3 - 2
M05
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
DAR
1 - 2
M05
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
M05
1 - 2
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
PIR
2 - 1
M05
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
M05
3 - 0
BNE
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
SAA
4 - 1
BAY
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 1
SAA
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
SAA
2 - 0
WAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
RVO
2 - 5
SAA
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
SAA
1 - 0
MUN
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |