Mainz 05 vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
KÖL
3 - 1
M05
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
MEP
1 - 1
M05
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1991 |
M05
0 - 0
SCF
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
HAN
3 - 1
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
M05
2 - 0
VFB
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
ROT
3 - 0
SCF
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
ROT
1 - 3
VFB
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
HAN
2 - 0
ROT
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
PRE
0 - 0
ROT
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1990 |
ROT
0 - 0
HOM
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |