Mainz 05 vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
M05
0 - 0
OSN
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 2
M05
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
M05
3 - 2
AAA
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 0
M05
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
RWA
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RWA
0 - 0
ARB
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
RWA
0 - 2
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
OSN
1 - 2
RWA
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 0
RWA
58%
22%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |