Mainz 05 vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
KOL
1 - 0
M05
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
M05
1 - 1
STP
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
AAA
1 - 0
M05
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
M05
2 - 2
KSC
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2000 |
HAN
2 - 1
M05
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ROT
4 - 0
KÖL
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
OFC
2 - 1
ROT
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 1
WAL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
MON
4 - 2
ROT
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ROT
3 - 0
TEN
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |