Mainz 05 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
M05
3 - 2
SGF
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ARB
0 - 1
M05
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2001 |
M05
1 - 1
EIN
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SAA
0 - 1
M05
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
M05
4 - 1
SCH
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
MSV
0 - 1
RTV
40%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UNT
0 - 1
MSV
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
MSV
5 - 0
AAA
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
FCU
0 - 1
MSV
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
MSV
1 - 1
SGF
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |