Mainz 05 vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
FCN
1 - 2
M05
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
M05
3 - 2
KAI
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
M05
2 - 4
BYM
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
RTV
2 - 6
M05
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
M05
2 - 0
HAN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
DYE
0 - 2
MIK
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
MIK
0 - 0
PYU
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
MIK
2 - 0
LER
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
BAN
0 - 2
MIK
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
KOT
0 - 0
MIK
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |