Mainz 05 vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1997 |
SCF
2 - 1
M05
64%
20%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
M05
2 - 5
FCN
59%
22%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
COT
2 - 2
M05
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
M05
3 - 3
SVS
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
WAT
1 - 1
M05
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 0
STP
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
SGF
3 - 0
LOK
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
LOK
1 - 0
UNT
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEP
6 - 0
LOK
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 1
KFC
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |