Mainz 05 vs Keflavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
KOL
1 - 0
M05
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
MIK
0 - 0
M05
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2005 |
M05
4 - 0
MIK
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
FCN
1 - 2
M05
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
M05
3 - 2
KAI
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
KEF
3 - 3
THR
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
KEF
2 - 0
ETZ
48%
23%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
KRR
1 - 3
KEF
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2005 |
KEF
2 - 2
IBV
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2005 |
ETZ
0 - 4
KEF
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |