Mainz 05 vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 1
M05
42%
25%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
M05
3 - 0
SGF
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
MEP
0 - 3
M05
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
M05
2 - 1
KFC
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1998 |
EIN
2 - 2
M05
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
KSC
1 - 2
ULM
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1998 |
HAN
1 - 0
KSC
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
ROS
4 - 2
KSC
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
KSC
4 - 2
STU
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
RTV
3 - 3
KSC
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |