Mainz 05 vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
MUN
1 - 3
M05
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
M05
1 - 1
WAL
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
FCN
3 - 0
M05
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1974 |
M05
2 - 0
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
M05
3 - 0
TUS
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1974 |
KSC
2 - 1
SAA
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
1 - 1
KSC
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
KSC
2 - 0
WWO
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1974 |
HOM
2 - 3
KSC
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
KSC
2 - 0
FSV
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +2 |