Mainz 05 vs Hertha Zehlendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.3%
6.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
KFC
3 - 0
M05
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
M05
3 - 0
AND
85%
9%
6%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
M05
39%
20%
42%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
HOM
7 - 1
M05
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
M05
4 - 2
RVO
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
EIN
10 - 2
HZE
91%
7%
3%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1976 |
HZE
1 - 0
MAY
92%
6%
2%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1975 |
HZE
0 - 1
BLU
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
S04
6 - 0
HZE
85%
9%
6%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
HZE
5 - 0
HEI
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |