Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
M05
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
M05
2 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BVB
4 - 2
M05
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
M05
3 - 0
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
EIN
2 - 0
M05
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
HSV
1 - 4
BYM
4%
13%
83%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AUG
3 - 1
HSV
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HSV
1 - 3
WOL
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HAN
2 - 1
HSV
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
HSV
2 - 1
LEV
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |