Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
M05
7 - 1
HZE
84%
9%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
KFC
3 - 0
M05
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
M05
3 - 0
AND
85%
9%
6%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
M05
39%
20%
42%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
HOM
7 - 1
M05
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
EIN
0 - 2
HSV
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
HSV
3 - 0
MUN
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
MSV
5 - 2
HSV
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
TSO
0 - 5
HSV
3%
12%
85%
|
86 | 7 | 79 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
HSV
5 - 1
RTV
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |