Mainz 05 vs FSV Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
SSV
3 - 3
M05
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
M05
1 - 0
PIR
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
SAA
2 - 1
M05
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
M05
4 - 2
STU
45%
24%
30%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
FCN
3 - 1
M05
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FSV Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
FSV
1 - 0
AUG
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
MUN
3 - 2
FSV
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 0
FSV
79%
15%
7%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
FSV
1 - 1
SSV
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
PIR
1 - 0
FSV
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |