Mainz 05 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
HER
2 - 0
M05
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
M05
0 - 0
MEP
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
SCN
2 - 2
M05
27%
23%
51%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ZWI
3 - 0
M05
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
M05
0 - 1
LOK
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1995 |
FCN
0 - 2
ARB
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCN
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1995 |
FCN
2 - 1
ROS
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1995 |
FCN
0 - 2
CZJ
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
UNT
0 - 0
FCN
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |