Mainz 05 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
EBK
3 - 1
M05
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
M05
4 - 2
REU
91%
7%
2%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
SCH
1 - 0
M05
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1975 |
M05
5 - 2
DAR
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
WAL
0 - 2
M05
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
FCN
2 - 1
AUG
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
MUN
1 - 0
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
FCN
0 - 0
FSV
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1975 |
SSV
0 - 3
FCN
17%
24%
60%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
FCN
5 - 4
PIR
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |