Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
EIN
0 - 2
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
HOF
23%
22%
56%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
M05
0 - 5
RBL
14%
19%
66%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 2
M05
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
AUG
1 - 1
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
AUG
0 - 0
PAD
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
S04
0 - 3
AUG
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2020 |
AUG
1 - 2
WOL
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |