Mainz 05 vs Energie Cottbus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EIN
0 - 0
M05
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
M05
1 - 0
BVB
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
RTV
0 - 1
M05
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
M05
0 - 4
BYM
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
M05
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Energie Cottbus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
COT
0 - 0
RTV
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
HSV
1 - 1
COT
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
COT
3 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
COT
0 - 0
STU
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 1
COT
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |