Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
15º
8º
10
12º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
42% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
3% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 3
M05
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
M05
2 - 1
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WOL
4 - 3
M05
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
M05
2 - 0
HOF
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 3
M05
25%
23%
52%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RTV
1 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RTV
6 - 2
WUP
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RTV
2 - 0
HEI
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
RTV
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RTV
0 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |