Mainz 05 vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
85.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.6%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
M05
1 - 1
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
M05
0 - 2
RBL
10%
17%
72%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STP
0 - 3
M05
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
M05
0 - 2
HEI
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
M05
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RTV
0 - 5
BYM
4%
8%
88%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 1
BYM
26%
20%
54%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 0
STU
72%
16%
11%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 3
BYM
7%
12%
81%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 0
BYM
10%
14%
76%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |