Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
LEV
2 - 0
M05
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
M05
0 - 3
HER
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
HSV
2 - 1
M05
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
M05
2 - 3
STU
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
M05
0 - 1
FCN
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ARB
3 - 1
BYM
16%
24%
61%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
RTV
1 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 1
HAN
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
ARB
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
WOL
5 - 0
ARB
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |