Mainz 05 vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
M05
1 - 2
RVO
65%
17%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FSV
7 - 1
M05
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
M05
3 - 3
SSV
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
PIR
3 - 3
M05
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
M05
0 - 0
SAA
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
WAL
4 - 1
MUN
42%
22%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
MUN
4 - 2
AUG
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
MUN
1 - 3
BAY
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
FSV
3 - 2
MUN
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
MUN
3 - 1
SSV
89%
9%
2%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |