DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 4-3
Mainz 05 vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
M05
0 - 1
SAA
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
VFR
0 - 2
M05
55%
22%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
M05
1 - 0
BRE
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
M05
3 - 4
SSF
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
PBF
2 - 2
M05
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1965 |
MUN
4 - 4
BVB
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
KAI
1 - 2
MUN
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
WOL
3 - 4
MUN
32%
23%
46%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
EIN
4 - 1
MUN
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
MUN
2 - 0
EBT
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |