Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
STU
2 - 0
M05
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
M05
3 - 2
RBL
11%
18%
71%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
M05
0 - 2
WOL
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 1
M05
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
M05
0 - 2
EIN
19%
21%
61%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 1
MON
21%
22%
57%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
AUG
2 - 1
FCU
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 0
FCU
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 0
LEV
15%
19%
66%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 2
WOL
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |