Mainz 05 U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
48
2º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 2
MAI
13%
17%
71%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
4 - 2
SDH
93%
5%
2%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
MAI
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
3 - 2
KAI
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ING
0 - 0
MAI
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Stuttgart U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ING
1 - 2
STU
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STU
6 - 1
AUG
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NUR
0 - 3
STU
45%
21%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
STU
2 - 0
SDH
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 4
STU
10%
15%
76%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |