Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
4º
2º
11
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 37 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 25 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 21 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 17 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 17 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 10 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 9 |
8º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 4
MAI
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 3
HOF
27%
20%
53%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
MAI
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
KAR
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
MAI
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NUR
2 - 2
DAR
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 2
NUR
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NUR
1 - 5
HEI
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDH
3 - 6
NUR
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
NUR
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |