Mainz 05 Sub 19 vs Nürnberg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
30
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
MAI
5 - 1
AUG
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
MAI
11%
16%
74%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAI
4 - 2
BOR
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 0
MAI
23%
20%
56%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 0
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
NUR
6 - 1
UBE
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COT
1 - 3
NUR
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 3
NUR
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 1
BYM
46%
21%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NUR
3 - 1
ING
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |