Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Nürnberg U19
25 ELO 21
7.5% Tilt 7.4%
8532º General ELO ranking 10986º
362º Country ELO ranking 547º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Mainz 05 U19
21.1%
Draw
22.1%
Nürnberg U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.1%
Win probability
Nürnberg U19
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-27%
-20%
Nürnberg U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Nürnberg U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2015
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
41%
23%
36%
25 21 4 0
29 Aug. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
63%
19%
18%
26 21 5 -1
23 Aug. 2015
BYM
Bayern München U19
5 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
39%
23%
38%
29 24 5 -3
19 Aug. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 0
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
49%
22%
29%
29 28 1 0
16 Aug. 2015
HEI
Heidenheim U19
1 - 3
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
8%
14%
77%
30 10 20 -1

Matches

Nürnberg U19
Nürnberg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2015
NUR
Nürnberg U19
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
63%
20%
18%
22 19 3 0
29 Aug. 2015
NUR
Nürnberg U19
4 - 0
Darmstadt 98 U19
DAR
90%
8%
3%
23 7 16 -1
22 Aug. 2015
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 2
Nürnberg U19
NUR
52%
22%
26%
23 23 0 0
16 Aug. 2015
BYM
Bayern München U19
0 - 0
Nürnberg U19
NUR
53%
21%
26%
24 24 0 -1
09 May. 2015
NUR
Nürnberg U19
3 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
25%
23%
52%
23 32 9 +1
X