Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
48
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
MAI
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 5
FRA
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BYM
2 - 3
MAI
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 4
OPO
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
STU
1 - 2
MAI
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 1
STU
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 3
KAR
17%
20%
64%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 0
SDH
82%
11%
7%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
KAR
16%
19%
65%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 0
KAI
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |