Mainz 05 U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
58
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 2
MAI
31%
21%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 1
MAI
49%
20%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DMI
1 - 2
MAI
10%
14%
76%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 1
DMI
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
MUN
78%
13%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ING
3 - 0
SDH
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 2
ING
17%
19%
63%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 1
ING
15%
18%
66%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ING
3 - 1
BYM
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NUR
3 - 5
ING
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |