Mainz 05 U19 vs Bayern München U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
37
2º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAI
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
3 - 2
STU
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 2
MAI
13%
17%
71%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
4 - 2
SDH
93%
5%
2%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
MAI
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
KOB
3 - 2
BYM
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 2
BYM
35%
21%
45%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BYM
0 - 0
MUN
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BYM
2 - 0
MUD
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HOF
5 - 2
BYM
34%
20%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |