Mainz 05 Sub 19 vs FC Augsburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
14
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
MCI
28%
22%
49%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SDH
0 - 3
MAI
12%
16%
73%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 1
GRE
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
MAI
9%
15%
77%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 2
FCB
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 5
STU
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 3
SDH
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
6 - 4
AUG
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
4 - 1
BYM
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +4 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NUR
1 - 0
AUG
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |