Mainz 05 Sub 17 vs 1. FC Nürnberg Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
13º
5º
23
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KSC
0 - 0
M05
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
M05
3 - 2
AUG
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 5
M05
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
M05
1 - 0
FAW
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HOF
6 - 2
M05
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
1. FC Nürnberg Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 3
HOF
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVU
0 - 1
FCN
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 3
SCF
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STK
2 - 1
FCN
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 2
BMC
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |