Mainz 05 II vs VfB Theley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
BNE
3 - 1
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
HAU
2 - 0
MAI
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
MAI
2 - 0
WWO
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
MAI
4 - 1
MAY
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
HAL
0 - 0
MAI
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Theley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
VBT
1 - 2
WWO
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
VBT
3 - 5
SAA
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
VBT
0 - 1
BET
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
HOM
1 - 0
VBT
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
VBT
0 - 1
RWH
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |