Mainz 05 II vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
TUS
1 - 1
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
5 - 0
ELV
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 0
MAI
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
KÖL
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
VER
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VER
0 - 3
BOR
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
ROT
38%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
S04
1 - 2
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |