Mainz 05 II vs Ingelheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
EBK
1 - 1
MAI
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 1
WIR
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
MAI
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
MAI
3 - 0
HOM
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SAA
2 - 2
MAI
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2003 |
ING
4 - 1
MAY
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
HAU
2 - 0
ING
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
ING
1 - 3
EBK
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ING
0 - 2
WIR
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
EIS
0 - 1
ING
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |