Mainz 05 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 3
MAI
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 1
KAI
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WUP
1 - 1
MAI
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 0
BOC
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 1
MAI
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
6 - 0
KÖL
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
SPO
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
S04
2 - 2
SPO
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
IDA
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |