Mainz 05 II vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MAI
0 - 2
ERF
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WEH
2 - 0
MAI
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
FEU
2 - 1
MAI
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 0
STU
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
SAA
1 - 1
STU
55%
23%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
PFU
0 - 1
SAA
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAA
2 - 1
HOF
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
AUG
3 - 0
SAA
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
SPO
3 - 2
SAA
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |